Democratic Convention - Day 2 Prelude

This is Hillary Clinton's Big Night. Not the Big Night she wanted on Thursday, but it is her night.

In light of this, I wanted to shed light on one little change that would probably have had her speaking on Thursday rather than Tuesday night.

If the Democratic Primaries were winner-take-all for delegates (like most Republican primaries), Hillary Clinton would have wound up with 392 more pledged delegates than Barack Obama.

You may want to think about that for a bit.

If nothing else changed except that delegates were awarded the same way electoral votes are awarded, it would have been a runaway victory for Hillary. She started with a vast majority of the declared Superdelegates. She would have ended Super Tuesday with more than a 300 delegate lead (and that does not count Florida or Michigan). As the challenger, even with the slew of Caucus states coming up that would wind up padding Obama's total, he may have been forced to withdraw after Super Tuesday.

Certainly, if the way delegates were awarded were changed as such, there would have been changes in the way the campaigns deployed their resources, but it is unlikely that Barack Obama would have won California, New York, Massachusetts or New Jersey on Super Tuesday. As simple as that, it would be another Clinton at the top of the ticket.